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[personal profile] poliphilo
Wells (in 1907) thought a world war would bring about the collapse of civilisation as we know it.  He was soon proved wrong, of course. He was also wrong about air war rendering ground-based armies obsolete- which is odd because- while he foresaw the horrors of aerial bombarment- he also realised you couldn't conquer and subdue a population simply by dropping bombs on it.

The book has lost its interest as prophecy but survives as entertainment. It is- I suppose- the grandaddy of steam punk. A little cockney cad- not unlike Kipps or Mr Polly- gets caught up in the drama of the breaking of nations and comes out the far side as a thin-lipped gun-slinger. There are air-ships. Lots of them. And aeroplanes with flapping wings piloted by Japanese swordsmen. 

Date: 2011-08-22 10:15 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] michaleen.livejournal.com
Interesting that he was wrong about air war and its consequences, but then so were -- and are -- many military men, from those who mocked Billy Mitchell down to the present day.

Date: 2011-08-22 12:34 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] poliphilo.livejournal.com
He thought in terms of vast invasion fleets of airships- supported by primitive fighter planes. I suppose it wasn't a bad guess for 1907. His account of the aerial bombing of New York rings true.

Date: 2011-08-23 09:44 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] michaleen.livejournal.com
No, not a bad guess at all, really. When the Nazis bombed England and the Allies bombed them back, it was done with vast fleets of bombers supported by fighter escorts. I think they previously intended something similar with dirigibles.

Date: 2011-08-22 04:42 pm (UTC)
sovay: (Rotwang)
From: [personal profile] sovay
He was also wrong about air war rendering ground-based armies obsolete

Kipling assumed something similar about transport and trade in "With the Night Mail"; it's either airships or submersibles, nothing that runs overland or on the surface of the sea, whereas as far as I can tell from humans in real life, they use as many different technologies as are available to them unless something becomes either genuinely impractical or not cool enough.

Date: 2011-08-22 06:29 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] poliphilo.livejournal.com
People went a bit airship crazy in the noughties of the last century.



Date: 2011-08-22 08:06 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] jfs.livejournal.com
You say crazy - I say inspired :-)

Date: 2011-08-22 08:50 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] poliphilo.livejournal.com
Yeah. Airships are cool!

Date: 2011-08-22 11:46 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] xiphias.livejournal.com
Wells (in 1907) thought a world war would bring about the collapse of civilisation as we know it.

He was kind of right. The post-WWI world, and the post-WWI view of war in general, is vastly different than pre-WWI. It DID provide a collapse of civilization, with a different, better-in-many-ways civilization replacing it.

Well, maybe "collapse" is too strong a word. And the world he was imagining would replace it turned out differently.

Date: 2011-08-23 08:08 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] poliphilo.livejournal.com
His war in the air is more like WWII than WWI- though it's not very much like either.

His model for the collapse of civilisation was the fall of the Roman Empire. In his post-war world people no longer possess any advanced technology and have reverted to a primitive, peasant lifestyle.

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