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So Cold...

Dec. 21st, 2010 09:45 am
poliphilo: (Default)
[personal profile] poliphilo
Odi turned up on the doorstep yesterday afternoon with bags full of potatoes, tomatoes, carrots, parsnips, melons, aubergines and plums. She'd been to an outdoor market where they were selling off frozen and frost damaged produce for silly money. 

My afternoon appointment with the practise nurse has been cancelled. They didn't tell me why she wasn't coming in, but she's probably snowbound.

George Monbiot says these vicious winters we're having are actually a sign of global warming.

Date: 2010-12-21 05:37 pm (UTC)
From: [personal profile] oakmouse
There's no credible evidence that anything like such a drop will result from global weirding within a single human lifetime.
Rapid, immense drops in population are extremely rare. We're more likely to go through the quite normal and much slower drop caused by fewer births, more infant mortality, and a higher death rate for elderly, sick, or otherwise vulnerable adults. See the recent experiences of the former Soviet former Union for the kind of thing that we can reasonably expect.

As far as objectivity goes, the fact that I can look at the probable overall fate of my species in a somewhat detached fashion has nothing whatsoever to do with my personal response to grief and loss. The former is the subject under discussion. The latter isn't part of the conversation, and isn't any of your business.

Date: 2010-12-21 07:42 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] negothick.livejournal.com
I really should have said "one" rather than "you," because we're all susceptible to the "Scrooge" effect--I didn't invent the truism that goes something like "one death is a tragedy, a million deaths is a statistic." That's why charities use the faces of dying orphans rather than bar graphs and flow charts to raise money.

I also apologize for another error of magnitude: the "keyhole" or "bottleneck" of population at the time of the extinction of the Neanderthal, about 65,000 years ago, was estimated at 10,000, not 100,000. And while that population crash was not felt within a lifetime, it came close to wiping us out. Still, as you say, Homo Sap rebounded, again very quickly--and spread all over the planet.

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