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[personal profile] poliphilo
Last night's EU Referendum broadcast on behalf of the Leavers was truly horrible- xenophobic, mendacious, cynical. Just nasty. My brain feels dirty from having watched it and my fingers feel dirty from writing about it. I believe they've lost my vote.

The campaign is nothing but a popularity contest between two lots of neo-liberals and, basically, I don't like any kind of neo-liberal- so I'm considering not voting at all. Ailz says I should show my disgust by spoiling my ballot paper.

Inside? Outside? I don't think it matters a whole lot. The EU is tottering and neo-liberalism with it. My vote goes to the incoming tide that'll sweep the whole lot away.

Date: 2016-06-11 04:36 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sorenr.livejournal.com
I am pretty sure a Brexit won't cause the collaps of the EU; it is facing much more important challenges than the exit of the UK, and to be honest the UK like Denmark has never been a "full" member of the EU - with all our exceptions and conditions. France or Germany might topple the EU, but the UK won't. (And Denmark wouldn't even create a tremor.)

If it happens it will be interesting to see how the negotiations play out. Denmark is currently struggling to be allowed into the EuroPol though we have our exception from the legal cooperation of the EU, and I can't see how the UK would manage to become part of that - or even part of the EEA - if they leave. They will try to, of course, but whereas Norway and Switzerland were given special deals as an incentive to lure them into the EU, there's really no reason to give a special deal to somebody who leaves.

Date: 2016-06-11 06:17 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] poliphilo.livejournal.com
Domino effect?

I'm told Spain is on the brink of economic collapse and France is struggling too. I don't think it would take much to bring the whole edifice down.

Date: 2016-06-12 03:59 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] sorenr.livejournal.com
Apart from the Front National there seems to be a consensus in France that the EU is a good thing for France - but of course the FN is sadly becoming a bigger and bigger player on the political scene, so naturally this could change.

As for Spain, I don't think they worry too much about the EU, to be honest. And the EU certainly isn't bad business for Spain, considering the various subsidies they are currently getting. The economic situation does seem dire, though, and who knows what such a prolonged depression might lead to in political terms.

In many ways I miss the Europe of my youth; there was that brief period of optimism in the late 90's after the Balkan war and before 9/11 where it seemed like everything was heading in the right direction. It wasn't perfect, but we were moving forward. Now it seems Europe is hugely challenged - and not just the EU - and it will be interesting to see how things develop during my middle age.

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